Epidemiology

After analyzing 1.35 million epidemic simulations, we discovered that network heterogeneity—the presence of 'hubs' with many contacts—improves epidemic predictability by up to 45-fold. Here's why it matters for the next pandemic.

Presentation of the first aim of my PhD dissertation, which focused on the epidemiology of P. vivax in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, at the annual American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene conference. This work is now published in Nature Communications1. Brazeau NF, Mitchell CL, Morgan AP, Deutsch-Feldman M, Watson OJ, Thwai KL, Gelabert P, van Dorp L, Keeler CY, Waltmann A, Emch M, Gartner V, Redelings B, Wray GA, Mwandagalirwa MK, Tshefu AK, Likwela JL, Edwards JK, Verity R, Parr JB, Meshnick SR, Juliano JJ.